Quatloos! > Investment
Fraud > FOREX
Scams > FOREX
Information > Beware
Seasonal Demand Pitch
~~~~ CONSUMER WARNING ~~~~
BEWARE OF PROMISES OF EASY PROFITS FROM COMMODITIES TRADING BASED ON SEASONAL
DEMAND AND OTHER PUBLIC INFORMATION
Consumers need to be alert to efforts to sell commodity futures or options
to them based upon a sales pitch that you can make a lot of money with little
risk by rushing into the commodities markets in advance of seasonal changes
or in response to publicly-issued reports or well-known current events.
The United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is the federal
agency that regulates the trading of commodity futures and options contracts
in the United States and brings actions against firms suspected of illegally
or fraudulently selling commodity futures and options. Over the past several
years, the CFTC has brought actions against wrongdoers who lured customers
by claims that one could earn large profits with little risk based on predictable
seasonal demands, published reports, or well-known current events.
The Pitch
Companies often use advertisements on radio and television, as well as infomercials – program-length
television commercials – to promote commodity futures and options. These
advertisements may claim that seasonal trends in the demand for certain commodities
or well-known current events create an opportunity to make big money by trading
in commodity futures and options. The advertisements and infomercials promise
quick riches – such as turning $5,000 into $20,000 in just a few months – with
predetermined risk. A toll-free number will be announced or appear on the
television screen inviting you to call if you want more information.
For example, advertisements on radio or television may urge you to purchase
commodity options in heating oil because increased demand for heating oil
in the winter is likely to push up heating oil prices. The pitch might go
something like this:
It won't be long before cold weather is here. Heating oil inventories are
down and demand is going up. There are warnings about shortages already. Get
the facts on how $5,000 properly positioned can return $20,000 or more with
just a ten cent move in heating oil prices. Past performance is not indicative
of future results and people can lose money. Low supplies and high demand
equals higher prices. Get the strategies now by calling 1-800-XXX-XXXX. $5,000
can return $20,000 or more but timing and strategy is the key.
Similarly, in the spring, advertisements may tout commodity options in unleaded
gasoline because increased consumption of gasoline in the summer is likely
to boost gasoline prices. Or you may receive a phone call from a salesperson
urging you to invest quickly in futures for certain agricultural commodities
because El Nino has driven up prices on those commodities or a recently-issued
government report has described shortages of that commodity.
What's Wrong With The Pitch?
These sales pitches are false. Seasonal increases in the demand for commodities
do not necessarily result in the increased value of an option or futures contract
on those commodities because the market has already factored seasonal demand
into the price of futures and options. The same is true of well-known information
like El Nino or government reports. The markets respond immediately – within
a few hours, often a few minutes – to new information. In other words,
the prices of commodity options and futures contracts already take into account
all known or predictable market conditions, such as seasonal changes in demand
for a commodity or known shortages of a commodity. The advent of the summer
and winter seasons, or the latest United States Department of Agriculture
report on crop size, is not news that is known to only a few.
Moreover, claims that the risk of purchasing commodity futures and options
can be predetermined or fixed are misleading. Purchasers of commodity option
contracts can lose every penny of their investments and because futures contracts
are "leveraged" or "margined," futures investors can lose
more than their investments.
You May Be Pitched Via Radio, Television,
The Telephone, Or The Internet
Aside from television and radio advertisements, you may hear these sales
pitches in telephone call solicitations, e-mail messages, internet advertisements
or web-sites, or during discussions on internet chat rooms. In recent months,
concerned consumers have forwarded to the CFTC's Division of Enforcement a
number of unsolicited e-mail messages transmitted over the Internet. These "spam," or
mass-mailed, e-mails tout investment opportunities in a variety of commodities,
typically predicting high returns based on seasonal price trends in a particular
commodity or on weather-related news developments such as El Nino. Also, in
some instances, the company that has produced and arranged for a television
or radio advertisement is not registered to offer or sell commodity futures
or options, but instead will sell your name to brokers who will then make
similar claims in a telephone sales pitch. In a subsequent, high-pressure
call, a salesperson may repeat the seasonal come-on, or a similar claim, and
urge you to act quickly to seize this "can't miss" opportunity.
Warning Signs Of Commodity Futures Or Options Come-Ons
If you are solicited by a company that claims to trade commodities and asks
you to commit funds for those purposes, you should be very careful. Watch
for the warning signs listed below, and take the following precautions before
placing your funds with any commodity trading company that offers leveraged
or financed commodity transactions:
-
Avoid Any Company That Predicts or Guarantees Large Profits Because
of Predictable, Seasonal Changes in Demand, Published Reports, or Well-
Known
Current Events
-
Stay Away from Companies That Promise Little or No Financial Risk
-
Be Wary of High-Pressure Efforts to Convince You to Send or Transfer
Cash Immediately to the Firm, via Overnight Shipping Companies, the
Internet, by
Mail, or Otherwise
-
Be Skeptical about Unsolicited Phone Calls about Investments, Especially
Those from Out-of-State Salespersons or Companies with Which You
Are Unfamiliar
-
Prior to Trading, Contact the CFTC or Other Authorities, Including
Your State's Attorney General's Office's Consumer Protection Bureau,
and the Better Business
Bureaus and the National Futures Association
-
Be Sure You Get All the Information about the Company and Its
Track Record and Verify the Data. If You Can, Before You Invest
with Any
Company, Check
the Company's Materials with Someone Whose Financial Advice You
Trust
-
Don't Deal With Individuals Who Won't Give You Their Background
-
If in Doubt, Don't Invest. If You Can't Get Solid Information
about the Company and the Investment, You May Not Want to
Risk Your Money
For More Information and Contacts
General information on the commodity futures markets and the CFTC is available
through the World Wide Web. Members of the public may report suspected wrongdoing
to the CFTC's Web site at www.cftc.gov. You also can communicate directly
with the CFTC's Division of Enforcement via e-mail at enforcement@cftc.gov.
You may also write or call the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission,
Division of Enforcement, Three Lafayette Centre, 1155 21st Street, N.W., Washington,
DC 20581, (202) 418-5320.