The funniest thing, when it comes to "lorne" and his trollish ilk and their delusions is that I, one little financial speck in the grand scheme of things, over the last 30 years have bought and sold well over two billion dollars worth of derivatives.
I'm a futures trader. That's literally tens and tens of thousands of contracts of gold, silver, copper, platinum, palladium, soybeans, bean oil, meal, corn, wheat, T-bonds, various foreign currencies, oil, coffee, cocoa, sugar, cattle, hogs and what not for future delivery. Which I never take. And never once have done with anything like 40:1 leverage. I'm not crazy.
What "lorne," Van Pelt, et al don't understand is much of anything about derivatives. They're intimidated by very, very large numbers. Those numbers must obviously be the result of some sort of "bankster" evil.
They don't understand notional value. They don't understand that the regulated portion of the business requires mark-to-market margins to be posted on an instantaneous basis.
They don't understand assessment of counter-party risk in the over-the-counter unregulated segment of the business or that the OTC portion of the business marks-to-market and demands collateral on a daily basis.
They don't understand that even though it's not done through a central clearing-house, most of the OTC participants have large resources and don't tolerate anyone who can't meet a margin call. Not to mention penniless wannabes like themselves.
They likely are at most only vaguely familiar with what a credit default swap is, never mind an interest rate swap or any of the other hundreds of types of swaps that exist.
Are these clowns aware that hundreds of thousands of swaps are conducted every month in stuff like sugar or natural gas and on and on? Of course not. Do they even know that there are options on most futures? Probably not.
I wouldn't even want to explain long-duration stock options to them, never mind single-stock futures. How about swaps for physicals in any number of markets? Or how to construct a fund full of all kinds of swaps, maybe including some swaps-on-swaps? Don't get me started.
They don't understand that people with risk often use a transaction to lay off risk to another party. They don't understand that there are usually about a half-dozen different ways to do that. They don't understand that many transactions take place because someone else in the same business, not some speculator takes the other side of the trade.
They don't understand that the total notional values reported are grossly overestimated.
"A" sells $100 million of credit default risk on "XYZ" to "B." "B" later changes its opinion of "XYZ" and sells $100 million of credit default risk on "XYZ" to "C."
"B's" net exposure? Zero. Total reported exposure? $200 million. Actual exposure? $100 million.
This happens 10 more times, net (partial positions are often bought or sold.) Total reported exposure? Could be as much as $1.2 billion. Actual net exposure of all parties? $100 million.
But, "lorne" and Van Pelt always take the hype of their fellow economic and financial illiterates (derivatives are a $50 trillion tower of destruction!) as gospel, and assume that the "evil banksters" are up to no good and the world is about to collapse. Even they should realize that this is old-hat BS, from 2006 and before.
If they had a firing synapse, they would have taken the Lehman bankruptcy example to heart.
Never mind Lehman's total derivative exposure, which was widely estimated to be in the multiple trillions of dollars of value (notional, of course, but that is never mentioned when you want to support a horrible headline) before the bankruptcy, they being one of the largest investment banks around before they went down the tube.
The liquidation of all of those trillions of stuff caused nary a ripple in the market.
And how about the liquidation of the $400 billion of credit default swaps on Lehman debt, itself:
Roughly $400 billion will be paid out on Lehman CDS, but, once all positive and negative positions are "netted" out, about 2% of that money will actually change hands
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/lehman ... -efficient
2%.
Oops. The horrible (hyped by morons like "lorne") $400 billion disaster turned into a lousy $8 billion, literally peanuts, which was routinely paid by the many losing counter-parties in due course.
Gosh, "lorne," have you figured out yet that you're a totally uninformed, blithering idiot?
Do you think that you might be impossibly and ridiculously out of your depth?
All the States incorporated daughter corporations for transaction of business in the 1960s or so. - Some voice in Van Pelt's head, circa 2006.